The UK Betting Forum Forum

If you create a model and you are only interested in backing the top rated or top 2 then how your model performs when compared to that other model you built in terms of effective rank ordering, becomes important. you can eyeball the strike rate of the top 1 or 2 in MySportsAI but that may not show the full picture. There is a test called Kendall-Tau that measures the effectivness of ranking by comparing the ranking order of each race according to your models probabilities with the actual... Read more

Hello everyone, I’m new here so not sure how it all works but I’ll try .. I started betting at 19years old , I’m now 68 . Trying , inventing, buying systems , tipsters etc , I’ve used a system based on Clive holts maximum rated horses since June 2025 and was in profit = ££££ Then it’s dwindled a little , but still in profit over that long period of time , some days no bets .. However, I remember having one of Clive’s publications ( had about 10-12 systems inside . I used all of them ... Read more

I have developed a pace based model and although in the ratings below one ingredient is missing due to the fact that it is a new engineered ingredient and I have not implemented it into the daily dec's data yet, it is still a profitable model on top and joint top rated. Here are todays, use them or ignore The plan is to integrate these into my existing stacked model which also incorporates Betfair 1 min prices ala Benter, all of course provided they add any alpha when stacked ... Read more

I have developed a pace based model and although in the ratings below one ingredient is missing due to the fact that it is a new engineered ingredient and I have not implemented it into the daily dec's data yet, it is still a profitable model on top and joint top rated. Here are todays, use them or ignore The plan is to integrate these into my existing stacked model which also incorporates Betfair 1 min prices ala Benter, all of course provided they add any alpha when stacked ... Read more

So having posted my data for Hong Kong racing, all results for the last 5 years, i thought it would be better to start a new thread to stop that being cluttered up on the Compiling Speed Figures Thread. For some reason, I am a compulsive collector of data but usually never get round to calculating speed figures. During the lockdown i had some thoughts on how to compile them and calculate going allowances for meetings. I messed around with old Racing Post Ratings for past UK and Irish racing... Read more

I like looking at trends and I've been having a look at how horse racing has changed since the start of the century There has been an increase in the number races in UK and IRE which is common knowledge, see in the figures below. In 2025 there were 2685 more races in the UK compared to in 2000, and 950 more races in IRE in 2025 compared to 2000. But in % terms that's a 36% increase for the UK and 49% for IRE. However the make up of the races has changed in places….. For... Read more

I like looking at trends and I've been having a look at how horse racing has changed since the start of the century There has been an increase in the number races in UK and IRE which is common knowledge, see in the figures below. In 2025 there were 2685 more races in the UK compared to in 2000, and 950 more races in IRE in 2025 compared to 2000. But in % terms that's a 36% increase for the UK and 49% for IRE. However the make up of the races has changed in places….. For... Read more

Created for all please post away

Created for all please post away

Description Type Odds Stake 14:02 Southwell Back (BSP) 1.5​ Big Narstie - 4 TBP 14:02 Southwell Back (BSP) 1​ Big Narstie - 1m Hcap 13:55 Sandown ... Read more

Description Type Odds Stake 14:02 Southwell Back (BSP) 1.5​ Big Narstie - 4 TBP 14:02 Southwell Back (BSP) 1​ Big Narstie - 1m Hcap 13:55 Sandown ... Read more

The lbs per length which I devised for each course and distance can be obtained from my standard time list (see below) along with the furlong distances to use. I have highlighted the use of the lbs per calculation (Distance adjustment) below. So in this example, the lbs per length calculation for 5f trip at the Curragh is 3.37 , if a horse had run instead over 6f you would adjust the distance and use 2.82 lbs per length (See Standard times list). In this example I used Dave... Read more